Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 3.325873 3.669305 4.041344 4.475699 4.970620 5.519009 6.175399
2025-09-28 2.713403 3.148209 3.650467 4.278254 5.048534 5.971422 7.173885
2025-10-05 2.430323 2.925319 3.524874 4.314005 5.339575 6.647523 8.475248
2025-10-12 2.245570 2.783916 3.461547 4.392367 5.662265 7.371578 9.913212
2025-10-19 2.100779 2.670009 3.410308 4.465418 5.967633 8.089838 11.430610
2025-10-26 1.979180 2.570434 3.361680 4.526938 6.251053 8.797325 13.026100
2025-11-02 1.866588 2.470466 3.299193 4.555776 6.480789 9.442105 14.613391
2025-11-09 1.722075 2.313415 3.141280 4.426228 6.450967 9.671930 15.538209
2025-11-16 1.614903 2.200540 3.036258 4.363084 6.512298 10.046892 16.763208
2025-11-23 1.530944 2.114682 2.963118 4.339966 6.631205 10.525561 18.248373
2025-11-30 1.493836 2.094481 2.985360 4.466810 7.008222 11.493371 20.840695
2025-12-07 1.423029 2.018674 2.916328 4.438227 7.113437 11.981151 22.550947
2025-12-14 1.351952 1.939659 2.839159 4.393349 7.191850 12.441648 24.326269
2025-12-21 1.255364 1.815889 2.683478 4.203432 6.989237 12.335248 24.824584
2025-12-28 1.213892 1.776034 2.659891 4.238799 7.206326 13.089412 27.477263
2026-01-04 1.183794 1.752201 2.660348 4.315493 7.508648 14.059585 30.886655
2026-01-11 1.154778 1.728196 2.658469 4.386939 7.807233 15.064540 34.646217
2026-01-18 1.125667 1.702215 2.651193 4.447098 8.088606 16.072974 38.694742
2026-01-25 1.093029 1.668492 2.628226 4.475295 8.305944 16.966687 42.673454
2026-02-01 1.037310 1.593255 2.528506 4.348616 8.180543 17.025013 44.125609
2026-02-08 0.995645 1.539933 2.464564 4.286862 8.189724 17.414409 46.747131
2026-02-15 0.962633 1.499886 2.422087 4.264252 8.283026 18.029579 50.312735
2026-02-22 0.953153 1.499940 2.451769 4.388301 8.721083 19.611723 57.828015